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Criteo S.A. (CRTO)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2025 delivered modest top-line growth with strong gross margin expansion: Revenue $483m (+2% YoY, +7% QoQ), Gross Profit margin 54% (+500 bps YoY), Contribution ex-TAC $292m (+9% YoY) .
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $89m and adjusted diluted EPS $0.92; non-GAAP profitability declined YoY on planned growth investments and accelerated amortization, while GAAP net income fell to $23m .
  • Management raised FY25 guidance: Contribution ex-TAC growth to +3–4% cc (from low-single-digit) and reiterated ~33–34% adjusted EBITDA margin; Q3 guide: CXT $277–283m and adjusted EBITDA $81–87m .
  • Strategic catalysts: rapid adoption of Auction-Based Display onsite, expanded agency partnerships (dentsu, WPP Media CTV), Mirakl Ads integration to unlock mid/long-tail demand; $104m H1 buybacks signal confidence .
  • Versus S&P Global consensus, Q2 2025 delivered broad beats: EPS $0.92 vs $0.71, Revenue $482.7m vs $274.7m, EBITDA $66.2m vs $64.8m; guidance raise is the stock narrative driver this quarter (*Values retrieved from S&P Global).

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Retail Media strength: revenue +11% YoY; CXT +11% YoY, driven by onsite momentum, new client integrations, and network effects; same-retailer CXT retention 112% .
  • Platform/partnership wins: global dentsu partnership to leverage complete Commerce Media stack; WPP Media collaboration moves commerce signals into CTV; Mirakl Ads integration unlocks marketplace demand .
  • Management confidence and AI positioning: “building a unified, outcome-based advertising platform…anchored on AI innovation” (CEO); FY25 guidance raised .

What Went Wrong

  • Profitability compression: Adjusted EBITDA down 4% YoY (to $89m) and adjusted EBITDA margin 31% (vs 35%) on planned growth investments and accelerated amortization .
  • GAAP earnings lower: Net income $23m (-18% YoY); diluted EPS $0.39 (-15% YoY) .
  • Cash flow/OpEx headwinds: Free Cash Flow -$36m (seasonal taxes), operating cash flow -$1m; GAAP OpEx +16% YoY to $228m, including accelerated amortization tied to Google’s Chrome cookie decision .

Financial Results

Summary by Quarter (oldest → newest)

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($USD)$553,035,000 $451,434,000 $482,671,000
Gross Profit ($USD)$300,971,000 $236,976,000 $258,518,000
Gross Profit Margin (%)54% 52% 54%
Contribution ex-TAC ($USD)$334,399,000 $264,372,000 $292,069,000
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD)$144,008,000 $92,148,000 $89,380,000
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (% of CXT)43% 35% 31%
Net Income ($USD)$71,944,000 $40,011,000 $22,920,000
Diluted EPS ($)$1.23 $0.66 $0.39

Year-over-Year and Quarter-over-Quarter Highlights

KPIYoY ChangeQoQ ChangeQ2 2025
Revenue ($USD)+2% +7% $482,671,000
Contribution ex-TAC ($USD)+9% +10% $292,069,000
TAC ($USD)-7% YoY +2% QoQ $190,602,000

Estimates vs Actuals (Q2 2025)

MetricS&P Global ConsensusActual (S&P Global)Press-Release Actual
EPS ($)0.70625*0.92*$0.92 adjusted diluted EPS
Revenue ($USD)274,675,860*482,671,000*$482,671,000
EBITDA ($USD)64,824,640*66,218,999.99999999*$89,380,000 Adjusted EBITDA

Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Note: S&P Global “EBITDA” may reflect a non-adjusted definition, while company reports “Adjusted EBITDA” .

Segment Breakdown (Q2 2025 vs Q2 2024)

SegmentRevenue Q2 2024Revenue Q2 2025CXT Q2 2024CXT Q2 2025
Retail Media$54,777,000 $60,913,000 $53,866,000 $60,009,000
Performance Media$416,530,000 $421,758,000 $213,227,000 $232,060,000
Total$471,307,000 $482,671,000 $267,093,000 $292,069,000

KPIs and Operating Metrics

KPIQ1 2025Q2 2025
Clients (#)17,084 17,142
Regional Revenue ($USD): Americas$192,908,000 $199,797,000
Regional Revenue ($USD): EMEA$164,861,000 $185,955,000
Regional Revenue ($USD): APAC$93,665,000 $96,919,000
Days Sales Outstanding (days)68 65
Headcount3,533 3,621
Media Spend (quarter)$919m LTM context in Q1; $1.0b Q2 quarter

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Contribution ex-TAC growth (cc)FY 2025Low single-digit growth (May 2) +3% to +4% (July 30) Raised
Adjusted EBITDA margin (% of CXT)FY 2025~33%–34% ~33%–34% Maintained
Contribution ex-TAC ($)Q3 2025N/A$277m–$283m (+5%–+7% cc) New
Adjusted EBITDA ($)Q3 2025N/A$81m–$87m New
Contribution ex-TAC ($)Q2 2025$272m–$278m (guide set May 2) Actual $292m Beat vs guide

Assumptions include FX rates across EUR, JPY, GBP, KRW, BRL and no additional acquisitions in the guided period .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4’24, Q1’25)Current Period (Q2’25)Trend
AI/Agentic AIFuture-proofed addressability; pushing toward deep learning; platform AI automation (Commerce Go) Building MCP support to feed product and shopper signals to AI agents; exploring monetization models with LLMs (affiliate/sponsored citations/API pricing) Expanding scope and external engagement
CTV & Brand PerformanceEarly testing; positioning to link CTV to outcomes WPP Media partnership to scale commerce-first CTV via curated deal IDs; case study with Jewelry Television showing measurable outcomes Scaling partnerships; performance framing
Agency partnershipsRenewals/expansion with holdcos; +50% YoY U.S. agency spend in Q1 dentsu global stack adoption; expanded second holdco partnership; go-to-market focused on bundled Commerce Max/Growth/Grid Deepening enterprise adoption
Retail Media product innovationOnsite Video launched; offsite momentum Auction-Based Display launched; 16 retailers live within a month; onsite display <10% of RM revenue but 30–40% of client mix—large runway Rapid adoption; runway highlighted
Mid/long-tail marketplacesMirakl Ads integration to unlock third-party sellers and automated workflows New demand unlock
Microsoft partnershipRetailers transitioning; demand-side work progressing Preparing launch of several retailers; working toward first real-time demand setup by year-end Building toward RTB unlock
Macro/tariffsElection normalization, mixed category spend Lower U.S. budgets in discretionary categories; category-level color (travel +28%, fashion -6%); tariffs seen more via consumer sentiment Mixed; cautious outlook
AdTech servicesHeadwinds from large client preference shift in 2024 Continued negative impact from lower spend by a large client Ongoing headwind, being mitigated
Retailer base225 retailers in FY24 230+ retailers now; ~70% of top 30 U.S., ~50% of top 30 Europe Expanding footprint

Management Commentary

  • CEO: “We are building a unified, outcome-based advertising platform for the next decade of commerce, anchored on AI innovation” .
  • CFO: “We are raising our full-year 2025 guidance and remain confident in our business strategy, as demonstrated by the deployment of $104 million for share repurchases in the first half of 2025” .
  • CEO on Retail Media Display: “Auction-Based Display…bringing programmatic flexibility to retail environments… retailer adoption ramping rapidly, with 16 retailers already live” .
  • CFO on mix and categories: APAC high single-digit media spend growth; travel +28%, classifieds strong; retail/fashion -6%; lower U.S. budgets .
  • CFO on profitability drivers: Adjusted EBITDA reflects growth investments (people, events), accelerated amortization tied to Privacy Sandbox processes , adjusted EBITDA margin still ~33–34% for FY25 .

Q&A Highlights

  • Agentic AI monetization paths remain open (affiliate, sponsored citations, commerce transactions); MCP setup designed for flexibility; partners showing strong interest in product recommendations and Commerce Audiences .
  • Agency GTM and bundling (Commerce Max, Commerce Growth, Commerce Grid) with deeper training and co-location to drive adoption; increasing agency share across platform .
  • CTV ramp: curated deal IDs through Commerce Grid; flexible DSP choice; early traction expected to accelerate into 2026 .
  • Mirakl integration: unlocks demand from third-party marketplace sellers; complements retailers avoiding Amazon dependencies .
  • Macro/tariffs: impact seen primarily via consumer sentiment; cautious stance on discretionary categories; retention near 90% .

Estimates Context

  • Q2 2025 beats: EPS $0.92 vs $0.71 consensus (beat), Revenue $482.7m vs $274.7m (beat), EBITDA $66.2m vs $64.8m (beat). Note consensus EBITDA likely non-adjusted versus company’s Adjusted EBITDA of $89.4m .
  • FY25 guidance uplift implies upward revisions to CXT growth and potentially to adjusted EBITDA outlook, with segment contributions: mid-single-digit Performance Media CXT and low-to-mid Retail Media growth (ex two specific clients, ~20% underlying) .

Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Raised FY25 CXT growth and solid Q3 guide indicate resilient demand and successful execution despite planned cost investments—narrative skewing positive on outlook .
  • Retail Media onsite product upgrades (Auction-Based Display, Onsite Video) plus Mirakl integration expand TAM and improve monetization—watch adoption curve and take-rate stability .
  • Platform flywheel strengthening via dentsu/WPP partnerships and broader agency enterprise motion—expect incremental media budgets across Commerce Max/Growth/Grid .
  • Short-term FCF/GAAP profit softness driven by seasonality and amortization; balance sheet/liquidity strong and buybacks active ($104m H1) .
  • AdTech services remains a drag; mitigation ongoing—monitor segment disclosures and mix shift to higher-return channels .
  • Macro-sensitive categories warrant caution, but retention ~90% and APAC/Travel strength provide ballast .
  • Trading: Positive skew on guidance raise and product/partnership catalysts; near-term volatility possible around discretionary categories and OpEx cadence; medium-term thesis levered to AI-driven full-funnel, cross-channel self-serve scale and Retail Media RTB unlock .